Washington, D.C. – Reuters and Ipsos launched a round of polling late on the evening of Aug 6, 2015, after the end of the Fox News Republican Debate. In the Reuters/Ipsos 2016 Republican Primary horse race, Donald Trump holds the lead in our post-debate polling (currently with 24% of Republicans, unchanged from pre-debate).
Jeb Bush (down) and Carly Fiorina (up) show the most movement in our pre and post poll measures.Among Republicans who are familiar with the debate:
- Opinions towards Trump’s performance are divided, with equal numbers saying they are more positive and more negative towards Trump after the debate.
- Fiorina, Rubio, and Walker all appear to have gained some favor, with much stronger positive numbers than negative. Carson, Cruz and Huckabee also receive positive marks.
- Among all other respondents (Democrats and Independents) familiar with the debate, sentiments are more decidedly negative.
Topline results are available for download Here
If the 2016 Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom of the following would you vote ?
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Donald Trump 21%
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Jeb Bush 11%
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Marco Rubio 6%
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Mike Huckabee 5%
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Scott Walker 4%
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Benjamin Carson 4%
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Rand Paul 4%
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Carly Fiorina 4%
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Ted Cruz 3%
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Chris Christie 3%
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John Kasich 3%
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Lindsey Graham 2%
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George Pataki 2%
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Rick Perry 1%
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Rick Santorum 1%
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Bobby Jindal 1%
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Wouldn’t vote 26%
Real Clear Politics Post Debate Polling Data
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Trump | Bush | Walker | Rubio | Carson | Huckabee | Cruz | Paul | Christie | Kasich | Fiorina | Perry | Santorum | Jindal | Graham | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 7/29 – 8/10 | 22.8 | 12.0 | 9.4 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | Trump +10.8 |
| Rasmussen | 8/9 – 8/10 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Trump +7 |
